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AS Roma vs Atalanta
When: Thursday, April 22 – 18:30 CEST
Where: Stadio Olimpico in Rome, Italy
Weather: Cloudy, 13°C
Referee: Gianpaolo Calvarese
There were a total of 22 goals across the previous five meetings between AS Roma and Atalanta. That accounts for 4.4 goals per game, which should make you wonder whether the trend is going to continue tonight?
It might, as both teams have been showing a solid offensive form of late. Furthermore, they still have Euro ambitions. Although the Champions League is out of AS Roma’s reach (they’re 10 points behind the #4 Atalanta), they still have a decent chance to qualify for the next season’s Europa League.
What’s more, AS Roma are still in the competition for winning this year’s Europa League. Next week, they’re playing the first leg of the semi-final.
Likewise, Atalanta also has a really good chance to play in Europe next season. They’re clinging onto a ticket leading to Champions League and they’ll surely wish to stay there. Sure, they wouldn’t mind if they could improve their table position – with a win tonight, they will do exactly that!
If Atalanta beat AS Roma, they’re going to climb to #2 place in Serie A. Obviously, that’s worth fighting for.
Problems Keep Piling On for AS Roma
AS Roma is the 3rd-best home side in Italy, with 11 wins, 3 draws, and only 2 defeats. Still, in tonight’s match, they’re the underdogs. Why is that the case?
The first reason is that AS Roma’s list of absentees is very long. Amadou Diawara is suspended, while Chris Smalling, Nicolo Zaniolo, Leonardo Spinazzola, Pedro, Marash Kumbulla, and Stephan El Shaarawy are out with injuries.
The second reason why oddsmakers don’t think AS Roma will secure all three points tonight is that their players might not be too focused on the domestic league. The thing is that AS Roma is still in the Europa League.
After knocking out Ajax last week, Roma are now in the semi-finals of the competition, playing the first part of the doubleheader with Manchester United next week.
History has thought us that AS Roma tend to underperform in the build-ups to Europa League games. For instance, they drew 0-0 with Benevento in February, just three days before the game with Braga.
Even worse, they lost 2-0 to Parma ahead of the game with Shakhtar Donets. More recently, we saw them draw 2-2 with Sassuolo in the last game before the first leg of the quarterfinal clash with Ajax.
Surging Atalanta Looking for their 6th Straight Serie A Win
Atalanta are the hottest team in the Italian top-tier. They won their previous five Serie A games, even though they played against some real heavyweights. That includes a 1-0 win against Juventus last round.
Beating a nine-time back-to-back Serie A champions is something they should be proud of. Still, there’s one thing about that game that’s strange – Atalanta scored only one goal.
That’s surprising considering Atlanta are the highest-scoring team in the league, with 72 goals in 31 games.
The reason why they didn’t score more than one goal that day is that the Turin-based side has a fantastic defense. In fact, Juventus (together with Inter) have conceded the least goals this season – 29 in 32 games.
A team that can’t be too proud of their defensive performances is AS Roma. This team allowed 47 goals in 31 games this season.
AS Roma vs Atalanta Betting Picks
It’s only logical to expect goals galore tonight. This goes especially for Atalanta, who we are used to seeing produce plenty of goals in their matches.
That said, we expect Atalanta to get all three points in Rome, and – at least temporarily – pass AC Milan as the Serie A runners-up. Still, knowing that Atalanta’s schedule for the remainder of the season doesn’t look too scary, it’s not going to be a major surprise if they end the season in #2 place.
Prediction: Atalanta to win
Prediction: Over 3.00 Goals