Aston Villa v Newcastle United – England Championship
24 Sep 2016, Villa Park, 16:30 GMT +0
These two teams know each other well and they both shared the same fate, when they were relegated to Championship league at the start of the season. Now battling their way out of 2nd division back to 1st, Newcastle looks to be in a much better position that their fellow relegated side.
Newcastle is currently at 3rd position with 5W and 3L. Looking at last 5 matches played, Newcastle was on a run with 5 matches won in a row, only to be stopped by the Wolves in the previous round (2:0). Prior to that Newcastle was able to defeat Reading (4:1), Bristol City (0:1), Brighton (2:0), Derby (0:2) and QPR (0:6). After the match, when Newcastle lost to Wolves in Championship, they had to play against Wolves again. Only this time it was in EFL Cup. Surprisingly enough Newcastle won (2:0) with the same result they lost just 3 days prior to that. All in all Newcastle is in a great form and I expect them to continue it.
Aston Villa has not had a great start of the season. Currently at 19th position, with only 8 points (1W-5D-2L). They seem to always just fall short of winning, so most of their matches end in a draw. IN the last 5 matches played Bristol City seemed to be too strong (3:1), whereas matches against Derby, Nottingham, Brentford and Ipswich all ended in a draw. The pressure is slowly mounting on Aston Villa, because if they continue this way they just might be relegated from 2nd division.
VERDICT
On the one side we have got team that is i form (Newcastle), whereas on the other side we have got a team that is under a lot of pressure and simply does not perform up to par (Aston Villa). Looking at H2H, fixtures at Villa Park mostly ended in a draw, but now taking into consideration the form of both teams Newcastle comes on top for me. With that in mind a bet of -0.25 on Newcastle has a good value.
Prediction: Newcastle -0.25
Odds: 2.17 SBOBET