The 13th round of Premier League will see 2 sides that are on the verge of relegation zone going against each other. The match will be played at Turf Moor, the home of Burnley, where they will host Newcastle in their first H2H match this season.
Burnley are currently 17th in the league, with an overall record of 2-3-7. With their 9 points thus far, Burley is only a point in front of the last 3 teams in the league. Their only 2 wins came against Cardiff (1:2) and Bournemouth (4:0). In the recent 5 games, Burley has lost 3 games and drawn 2, including their most recent match against Leicester (0:0). Looking at the mentioned match, Leicester were the team that dominated Burnley with 63% possession, 22 goal attempts and 5 shots on goal, but despite their superior performance, Leicester just couldn’t find a way to score. Burnley had only 37% possession, 6 goal attempts and 1 shot on goal in 90 minutes. The result was disappointing for Leicester, who dropped in the standings to the 10th spot. Burnley, on the other hand, can be happy with the point they got, although arguably they did not deserve it. Final score 0:0.
The visiting side, Newcastle are currently 15th in the league, with the same overall record than Burnley (2-3-7). On the bright side, Newcastle 2 wins came from their recent 2 matches against Watford (1:0) and Bournemouth (2:1). Those 2 wins surely had a positive impact on their morale after being winless for 10 league games. In their last 5 games, Newcastle lost 2, drew 1 and as mentioned won their last 2 games. The match against Bournemouth on 10th of November ended in a 2:1 win for the home side, Newcastle. All of the 3 goals came in the 1st half, with the opener being scored in the 7th minute (Rondon). In 40′ we saw the second goal for Rondon and Newcastle, which gave them a comfortable lead, only to it being reduced to 1 goal with a goal from Bournemouth in 45’+6. The second half saw a total of 15 goal attempts and 3 shots on goal. Bournemouth had the ball at their feet for the majority for the half (67%), but with only 1 shot on goal, they failed to equalize. Final score: 2:1.
This will be an important match for both sides, as they are both just above the relegation zone. A loss here would be devastating, however, a win would see one of the teams joining West Ham at 13th place in the league. Comparing the 2 teams, Burnley is one of the worst teams when it comes to home matches (1-1-3). Newcastle does not fair to well in away games neither (0-3-2), but the only 2 teams who were able to defeat Newcastle on the road were Manchester City (2:1) and Manchester United (3:2), and even then it was a minimal loss. Despite away record looking somewhat poor on the paper, it would look much better if Newcastle had not played against Manchester United and Manchester City. The home match Burnley played against Huddersfield on 6th of October was, disappointing, to say the least. Huddersfield dominated the match with 68% possession, 19 goal attempts and 2 shots on goal, whereas Burnley had the ball at their feet only 32% of the time and had only 6 goal attempts. This performance alone made us question how good Burnley is at home and from what we have seen from Newcastle we can safely say they aren’t better than “the Magpies”.
Prediction: Newcastle +0.00 Asian Handicap
Odds: 1.85 Pinnacle
