Inter v Barcelona – UEFA Champions League Betting Preview and Prediction
The hectic group F will conclude with an exciting two fixtures in round six, where both Inter Milan and Borussia Dortmund will chase the second and final ticket for the UCL playoffs. That being said, Borussia have a much easier task seeing how they are facing off with Slavia Prague, while Inter welcomes Barcelona at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, where Conte and his men can’t settle with anything less than a win if they’re serious about breaking into the final 16.
Inter Milan eyeing UCL ticket
Inter are entering the sixth and final round of UCL group stage with 2-1-2 record and seven points next to their name, which sits them tied with Borussia Dortmund at the second spot in the group, meaning their ambitions to break into the final 16 are still very much alive. That said, Conte and his men know well it won’t be an easy road to get there as they need to defeat Barcelona at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.
Looking back at Inter’s group stage results, Conte’s men drew with Slavia Prague (1:1), lost to Barcelona in Spain (1:2), defeated Borussia Dortmund at home (2:0), lost to Dortmund in an away game (2:3) and most recently defeated Slavia Prague (3:1) to keep their dreams of reaching the playoffs alive. Overall, Inter are in a good shape, as they enter this bout with only one defeat in their last 11 fixtures across all competitions, and even that sole loss came against Borussia Dortmund in Germany.
For this prediction, we have to take into consideration how the previous meeting between Barcelona and Inter went. While it’s been over two months since they met at Camp Nou, it’s worth noting Inter played well and lept Barcelona on the ropes for much of the game. Inter scored the opener in the third minute but conceded an equalizer in 58th minute. The pressure was seemingly too much for the Italians who conceded an unfortunate goal in 84th minute, which left them empty-handed. Despite that, Inter proved they can compete with Barcelona and they will surely look to prove that once more this Tuesday when they will be eager to claim the compensation.
Barcelona travel to the Italian Peninsula with a playoffs ticket in their hands
Barcelona have already secured themselves a spot in the playoffs, meaning the upcoming fixture is nothing more than a formality for them, which is great news for Inter Milan, who unlike Barcelona will be hungry for a W. Barcelona will enter the Tuesday’s rematch with Inter with a 3-2-0 record in Group F. Looking back, Barca drew with Dortmund (0:0) in Germany, defeated both Inter (2:1) and Slavia Prague (2:1), drew with Slavia at home (0:0) and most recently defeated Dortmund (3:1) to deny them an almost guaranteed promotion into the final 16.
Outside of their UCL fixtures, Barca are 8-1-1 in their last 10 across all competitions and will enter the upcoming bout with a streak of six wins behind them. That being said, their away record is not as solid as many would suggest. This season, Barcelona already lost to Levante (1:3), Granada (0:2) and Ath Bilbao (0:1) on the road, which suggests they won’t have an easy time here either. Adding to that is the fact Barca have nothing to fight for, while the same can’t be said for Inter, leading us to believe Inter’s urgency to win should add some much-needed motivation to perform on the highest level.
Verdict & Prediction
Barcelona are expected to enter this match without Messi, Sergi Roberto and Gerard Piquie and while they have solid players to replace them, we can’t expect them to play on the same level as Barca’s star players. Other than that, Semendo, Artur, Dembele and Alba are all sidelined. Barcelona are in a great shape heading into their clash with inter, seeing how they are leading LaLiga, but as mentioned, three of their league away fixtures let a lot to be desired. Furthermore, Barca only managed to grab a draw against Borussia in Germany and barely edged past Slavia in their visit to Sinobo Stadium, where Barca can count themselves lucky to see Slavia score an own goal in 57th minute.
Inter on the other side slightly disappointed with their 0:0 draw against Roma last weekend, however, we can’t ignore they are still firmly sitting at the second spot in Serie A, only two points adrift from Juventus. As far as Inter’s record at San Siro is concerned, they had their up and down moments but did manage to defeat Borussia 2:0 here. For Inter, Barella, Sensi, Sanchez and Gagliardi will miss the match, while Candreva is expected to return on the pitch. All things considered, Inter are better than what the odds would suggest and while they historically struggle against Barca (1-1-3), the urgency for a win should push them to outperform Valverde and his men.
Prediction: Inter -1.00 Asian Handicap
Odds: 2.01 SBOBET