LOL LCS Spring Week 6 – Day 1 Betting Previews and Predictions
Cloud9 vs Counter Logic Gaming
Friday, March 12 – 15:00 PST
There is no hiding the fact that Cloud9 are a much better team, but Counter Logic Gaming are not playing particularly poorly. In fact, I was quite impressed with what this team has been showing of late and I believe CLG would have made it to the playoffs had they been playing like this from the get-go.
This match should still end in favor of C9 more times than not, because they’re simply better, but I wouldn’t underestimate CLG, who seems a bit underrated due to their iffy showings early into the season. At these odds, I’m taking CLG with a +10.5 kill handicap without any questions asked.
Prediction: Counter Logic Gaming +10.5 kills – 1.819 Pinnacle
Evil Geniuses vs TSM
Friday, March 12 – 16:00 PST
Evil Geniuses are the type of team that can win games like this one, but I am very hesitant about betting on them, largely because they’ve been very inconsistent this split. Shockingly enough, TSM are the complete opposite and have emerged as one of the most stable teams in the league.
TSM basically do everything EG can but better and as long as they can keep playing the way they have across the last few weeks, I will continue to believe TSM are the better team here. Alternatively, you might want to take overs as well, since EG are usually involved in high-scoring games, but I’m going for a simple moneyline bet for this one.
Prediction: TSM to win – 1.657 Pinnacle
100 Thieves vs Immortals
Friday, March 12 – 17:00 PST
After a streak of disappointing results, 100 Thieves woke up and completely stomped Golden Guardians, proving they still “got it”, but one result alone is not enough for me to forget how off-sync this team looked like in weeks prior. That said, this is still a stacked team that will do more than fine when they click, but for now, they’re a bit 50/50 for me.
Immortals are a team I was not too high about this split and while I am still cautious not to praise them too much, they are slowly showing some improvement. Their biggest issue is closing down games, which oddly enough was also 100T’s problem in more than a couple of their games this split.
Is this enough for me to say IMT can win? Well no, but I expect to see a close and long match, that might not be particularly fun to watch – I hope I get proven wrong on this one. I’m not ready to pick a side here, but the over 7.5 kills on Immortals appeals to me. They are smart enough to take advantage of 100T’s slip-ups and since I expect a longer game (+30:00), eight kills is not really a high number.
Prediction: Immortals +7.5 kill – 1.813 Pinnacle
Team Liquid vs Dignitas
Friday, March 12 – 18:00 PST
Dignitas have overachieved a bit, but there is no denying this is a solid team that is playing very good LoL. Much of their success comes from their proactivity around the map, always trying to make something happen, which usually catches other teams off-guard, however, I’m unsure whether they will manage to surprise Team Liquid as much as they did other teams.
Liquid are overall a very strong team that rarely makes mistakes, but as we have established before, they are not a team that will win with large kill margins. Since Liquid are generally a very low-kill team, Dignitas with a +7.5 kill handicap is a great bet I can’t pass on.
For those who believe Dignitas are truly as good as their record suggests, a smaller bet on Dignitas to win can be considered, but I’m not feeling lucky enough today to pull the trigger on this one.
Prediction: Dignitas +7.5 kills – 1.819 Pinnacle
Optional: Dignitas to win – 3.42 Pinnacle (0.5)
Golden Guardians vs FlyQuest
Friday, March 12 – 19:00 PST
I don’t know how that’s possible, but Golden Guardians continue to look worse and worse with each passing week. Sooner or later they’ll hit rock bottom, at which point we can expect some improvement, but I just can’t say when and how that will happen. While it’s true that these bottom-table LCS games are incredibly volatile and unpredictable, that doesn’t justify me betting on GG in hopes for some sort of a miracle – at least not at 2.71.
FlyQuest are not in a much better spot either. They have not improved one bit this split and I’m not sure whether I should be sad or angry for them not to live up to the expectations I had for them. The only thing they have going for them is that FlyQuest seem stronger than Golden Guardians, but then again, any team in the LCS – and arguably in any other region is better than GG at the moment.
I just don’t know what to do with this one. Since I believe that Golden Guardians are the worst team in the league, it would make sense to back FlyQuest, however, at 1.471, I would rather pass.
In GG’s defence, this is a team assembled from rookies, who are slowly getting to understand how the pro play works. They might not reach much higher up the ladder in Summer, but I definitely expect so see some improvement from them in a couple of weeks.