Evil Geniuses and Counter Logic Gaming delivered yesterday to keep our profits growing. Now we take a look at Saturday’s League of Legends LCS Summer fixtures.
100 Thieves vs Golden Guardians
Saturday, June 12 – 14:00 PDT
I don’t see any issues with 100 Thieves priced as low as 1.204 for this match since they’re clearly a much superior team than Golden Guardians. The individual talent gap here is as big as it can get, making it very difficult to find a play on this match.
Early into the season, betting on the underdogs is usually the right play, but I don’t see a good reason to take GG over 100T. Had GG played a bit slower side, a +8.5 kills bet would be the way to go, but 100T are way too explosive for me to take recommend that play.
This match could easily be one of the shortest of the split, so perhaps a bet on under 31 minutes might appeal to some. I’ll try to avoid these kinds of bets before we get a bit more information on how the teams do in the current meta.
No prediction
FlyQuest vs TSM
Saturday, June 12 – 15:00 PDT
I expected much more from TSM yesterday, so perhaps I should have placed some money on 100T, who I thought were a bit overpriced at 2.20. Regardless, TSM did not look that bad in their loss, and I continue to believe this is a solid team overall.
FlyQuest enter this match off a humiliating loss against Cloud9, who smacked them around in any way imaginable. It was a complete stomp if I ever saw one and a proper indication that FlyQuest aren’t cut out to compete for the top spots in the league.
I was not too fond of FlyQuerst before the split began, and I have yet to change my mind. This is a bottom-three team in the LCS that won’t achieve much – unless they face an equally weak side or somehow surprise one of the top dogs.
TSM are priced as low as 1.336 for this match, which isn’t too appealing for an early-split match. You could get better odds with a -7.5 kill handicap on TSM (1.877), but this is not a team you want to bet on to win with +8 kills to spare.
No Prediction
Team Liquid vs Evil Geniuses
Saturday, June 12 – 16:00 PDT
I have mentioned it before and I’ll do it again – Evil Geniuses are (usually) a team you don’t bet on as a favourite but should definitely be considered when they’re priced as an underdog. For this match, you can get EG as high as 2.72, which is way too good to pass on.
EG might not finish inside the top-three by the end of the split, but they have enough individual talent to take any team in the league. Consistency still isn’t their strong suit, as they are known to coin-flip all of their games. However, I can’t pass on the odds of 2.72 on a coin-flip.
We must also touch on Team Liquid, who are clearly not doing too well. They had a decent performance yesterday, but I’m not convinced yet – especially after their roster swaps in the top lane.
As revealed by Liquid, they have decided to bench Barney “Alphari” Morris due to performance and attitude issues, further confirming the synergy (and likely the morale) in this team isn’t exactly high. They’re still likely to outperform EG by the end of the season, but they’re not a that much better team in their current state.
Prediction: Evil Geniuses to win – 2.72 at Pinnacle
Cloud9 vs Counter Logic Gaming
Saturday, June 12 – 17:00 PDT
After their complete domination of FlyQuest, Cloud9 players’ morale must be at an all-time high, making them a terrifying team to face. Assuming they weren’t a scary opponent with the talent they have to begin with.
Counter Logic Gaming, enter this match off a victory against Golden Guardians, marking their first W of the split. I, however, wouldn’t celebrate that victory too much since it was a complete robbery and undeserved.
I am still waiting for CLG to start showing what they’re capable of. They haven’t impressed me yet, and until I see some improvement, I won’t be betting on CLG.
This fixture could easily end in another stomp from Cloud9. That said, I won’t be betting on kill handicaps, nor am I interested in a 1.214 moneyline bet.
No Prediction
Immortals vs Dignitas
Saturday, June 12 – 18:00 PDT
Perhaps the most exciting match of the day, but the most unpredictable. Immortals lost to Evil Geniuses yesterday. On a more positive note, they are likely to enter this match with David “insanity” Challe back in the mid lane.
The return of Insanity makes Immortals a far more deadly team – as seen during the opening week of the LCS 2021 Summer. Although it’s entirely likely that Immortals overperformed in week 1, you can’t deny that they looked very good with their starting mid laner on the Rift.
Talking about returning players, Dignitas have yet to clarify whether they’ll enter this match with David “Yusui” Bloomquist or Max “Soligo” Soong in the mid lane, which is a crucial piece of information missing.
There’s a world where Dignitas outperform Immortals with their strong macro play and outstanding synergy. But Immortals looked far too good with Insanity for me to feel confident betting against them. It will be an interesting match to watch, but not one I will be betting on.
No Prediction
