Betting-Previews.com returns with League of Legends betting tips and predictions for LoL Championship Series (LCS) 2021 Summer Week 5 – Day 2.
LCS Summer Week 5 – Day 2
When: Saturday, July 3 – 14:00 – 18:00 PDT
Number of Games: 5
With Immortals failing to deliver against Cloud9 and Golden Guardians beating Counter Logic Gaming, we secured a marginal profit with our LCS 2021 Summer Week 5 – Day 1. For today, we have five games to cover over and two bets for you to take a look at.
Evil Geniuses vs Counter Logic Gaming
Saturday, July 3 – 14:00 PDT
Evil Geniuses are 3-0 in their last three outings with wins against TSM, Dignitas, and FlyQuest, who they bet on Friday without much problem. FlyQuest held on relatively well for the first 10 minutes, but it didn’t take long for EG to get their wheels spinning and close out the deal in just south of 32 minutes with a massive 12.6k gold lead and 18-6 in kills.
Evil Geniuses were the better team on the day as they continue to show their new and improved stable style of play. You can’t take much from that match outside of the confirmation that EG are now slightly less volatile and should do better against weaker opponents.
Counter Logic Gaming lost to Golden Guardians and are now 0-4 as they head into a rematch with EG. It was another disappointing showing from CLG, who are struggling to get their wheels spinning.
Even if you look at CLG’s showings across, they only looked good during Week 3, when they beat 100T, EG, and Dignitas. Much of their success then was due to their unique drafting, but it didn’t take long before other LEC teams figured out how to counter it.
Evil Geniuses are priced as 1.526 (Pinnacle) favorites, which seems a bit high. EG are definitely still a team that can choke against weaker opponents, but with the improvement, they have been showing, they should smash the disorganized CLG.
Immortals vs TSM
Saturday, July 3 – 15:00 PDT
Both teams lost their previous outings. TSM lost to Dignitas, whereas Immortals struggled to deliver against Cloud9. Not much to take from those bouts, TSM and Immortals were simply the second-best teams on the day.
Seeing TSM lose against Dignitas should spark an interesting conversation about how good this team really is. Their metrics are some of the highest in the league, yet their performances aren’t nearly as inspiring.
The big issue with TSM is that they are often overrated by the bookmakers solely due to the numbers they have been putting up. However, the eye test proves that they can quickly drop the ball against any team in the league – as seen yesterday.
Immortals lack the individual quality of TSM – which isn’t surprising, considering one TSM player is worth a much as the whole Immortals roster combined – but they have been far more consistent throughout the split. As noted yesterday, Immortals will lose a game against a stronger opponent, but they will rarely drop the ball and underperform.
I don’t believe Immortals are a better team, but this price underestimates them quite a bit. You can back Immortals at 2.62 on bet365, so you should obviously grab the better odds there.
Team Liquid vs Cloud9
Saturday, July 3 – 16:00 PDT
A rematch from LCS 2021 Summer Week 1, when Cloud9 claimed their first win of the season, will see the two LCS juggernauts go at it for the second time of the season. Cloud9 enter this match off a victory against Immortals, who they beat with relative ease, largely thanks to their superior mid-bottom lanes that combined 10/2/20 score to Immortals’ 1/7/8.
It was a fairly convincing victory for Cloud9, who finally stepped it up and showed the Cloud9 we were all waiting to see. It’s not wise to overreact to one solid showing, but as noted before, Cloud9’s metrics over the season were much higher than what their performances on the Rift would suggest.
It was only a matter of time before C9 improve – unfortunately, it happened in a game where we sided against them
Team Liquid continue to look solid, and I fully expect them to compete for a deep playoff run. While I view Liquid as a solid team, they have been playing worse than Cloud9.
Cloud9 enter this match as a 1.694 (Pinnacle) favorites, which makes sense if you believe their showing against Immortals yesterday was more than just a one-off game. From my experience, sudden improvements like that one don’t mean much, but I’ll rather pass on this match, as I don’t have a solid argument to make in favor of Liquid.
The odds offered on Liquid seem a bit high considering the quality this team has, but I will rather be cautious about betting against C9, who are bound to shift into a higher gear sooner or later and storm to the top of the LCS.
Dignitas vs Golden Guardians
Saturday, July 3 – 17:00 PDT
I talked about Golden Guardians’ playstyle before. They don’t try to invent the wheel and opt into some weird drafts to gain advantages. Instead, they pick simple compositions that work, and they make most of it by playing plain textbook LoL.
GG might lack the individual talent of other LCS teams, but not trying to be something they aren’t is indirectly helping them get great results. Pick compatible and straightforward compositions, stack drakes, and win games – a simple plan that seems to be working for them.
Dignitas stunned TSM yesterday, but I wouldn’t overreact to that result. It was their sole decent performance of the last two weeks, and even that result was more a byproduct of TSM’s iffy early game more than anything else.
Dignitas might field (slightly) better individual talent, however, GG have been more consistent, and you could argue that they have been playing much better LoL if you average out their showings across the summer season. I have a big problem with GG priced as an underdog here – a complete overreaction to Dignitas’ win against TSM.
FlyQuest vs 100 Thieves
Saturday, July 3 – 18:00 PDT
I want to go into a bit more detail about this game, but given the teams we have faced in the final match of the day, I really have nothing to say. I could ramble a bit, but in the end, we will come to a conclusion that FlyQuest vs 100 Thieves is a clash between the current worst and the best team in the league.
Betting on 100 Thieves at 1.201 (Pinnacle) would be the right call, but I wouldn’t recommend a bet at this price – especially not in a best-of-one series. Alternatively, you could look at side markets in under 12.5 turrets (1.303 Pinnacle) and under 4.5 dragons (1.826 Pinnacle).
I expect a complete stomp from 100 Thieves, who should close out this game relatively quickly. It’s worth noting that 100T have been showing some cracks by not knowing how to close out their games effectively, albeit we will keep that topic for when they face at least a somewhat competitive side.
Betting Odds are correct as of Saturday, July 3 at 19:40 CEST
