The second day of the League of Legends Championship Series (LCS) 2021 Summer Week 6 kicks off on Saturday, July 10. Betting-Previews.com brings you full coverage of the games played on the day, with previews and best picks.
LCS Summer Week 6 – Day 2
When: Saturday, July 10 – 14:00 – 18:00 PDT
Number of Games: 5
Friday was a day of upsets, starting with Counter Logic Gaming’s victory against TSM, which was followed by FlyQuest edging past Cloud9 and Golden Guardians claiming a surprise victory against the current no.1 team 100 Thieves. Heading into the second day of LCS 2021 Summer Week 6, many teams will have a lot of work to do to improve their impression, while underdogs will try to make the most of their momentum and claim crucial points leading into the playoffs.
TSM vs Golden Guardians
Saturday, July 10 – 14:00 PDT
TSM lost to Counter Logic Gaming yesterday, to kick off what turned out to be a very weird day in the LCS. As talked about in our LCS Week 6 Day 1 betting preview, CLG’s only chance to upset TSM was to draft for early strength and pick Varus instead of Kalista, which is exactly what happened.
The two teams went back and forth for the first few minutes, but once CLG grabbed the second drake and Herald, they started gaining momentum, which eventually led to a commanding victory. TSM tried to claw their way back into the game at around 34th minute mark and nearly close the gap, but ended up falling flat after CLG picked up the Baron.
TSM drafted terribly in that game. Picking Lee Sin and Renekton as flex picks isn’t optimal, especially if you get caught and have to face counter picks. Still a talented lineup, but their drafts and decision making is not at the level of a team you can expect to win the league.
Golden Guardians stunned 100 Thieves yesterday and claimed one of the biggest upset wins of the season. It was a weird win considering 100T had a better draft, however, the course of the game was heavily dictated by the bottom lane matchup, where GG picked Kalista into Kai’Sa.
The thing with this matchup is that if Kalista can get ahead, Kai’Sa will be rendered useless as she won’t have enough items to do much in the teamfights. On the other side of the map, we saw Eric “Licorice” Ritchie make his debut on Gwen, and he didn’t disappoint.
After their win against 100 Thieves, many people will be high on GG to take down TSM as well, but this isn’t a spot where you would take GG. They’re a weaker team than TSM all-round, and the only way they could lose is if TSM shoots themselves in the foot again.
The betting odds are fair, as there is not a solid reason to pick either side. TSM are generally a slower team, so a +7.5 kill handicap on GG might make sense, but considering GG need to play aggressively to stand a chance to win, they could easily get punished and give up way too many kills – as they did against Dignitas (20) and Evil Geniuses (17).
Team Liquid vs Immortals
Saturday, July 10 – 15:00 PDT
Barney “Alphari” Morris has returned to Team Liquid’s LCS lineup and he didn’t need long to prove jush how valuable he is to the team. The former Origen top laner earned a match MVP award ending the series with Dignitas with a 3/1/8 score on Gangplank while dealing 23.5k damage.
Liquid won that game with 12-8 in kills and 7.1 k gold lead which isn’t exactly spectacular but ignoring the match stats; Liquid were clearly the better team. Now they’re set to face Immortals, who are viewed as a stronger opponent than Dignitas and should present a tougher challenge for the LEC 2021 Spring finalists.
That’s definitely the case, but even so, it’s hard to find a solid argument in favour of Immortals here. They played well early into the season but are now 2-3 in their last five and enter this match off a loss to Evil Geniuses.
Immortals took an early lead against Evil Geniuses but struggled with their transition to the mid-late game. Immortals were one of the most efficient late game teams in the league but are ranked the third-last in the mid-late game rating (-14.8) across their last three outings. Evil Geniuses, meanwhile were ranked first (22.9 MLR) heading into that bout.
Team Liquid’s stats compared to Evil Geniuses aren’t as convincing, but we have to take into account the arrival of Alphari, which allows Liquid to play with a weak top side and still gain leads more times than not.
Due to their slump, I don’t like Immortals as an underdog pick here, nor would you want to pick Team Liquid at 1.54 (Pinnacle) after one good performance. With Alphari they’ll improve, but we need to see a bit more from them before we come to a conclusion whether Liquid are now a good team or not. Fair odds and no bet for us.
Evil Geniuses vs 100 Thieves
Saturday, July 10 – 16:00 PDT
100 Thieves’ lost to Golden Guardians yesterday, but we shouldn’t overreact to one iffy showing. 100 Thieves have been the best team in the league this season, and while some of their success has to do with Cloud9 and Team Liquid struggling, 100T are still playing a level above most other LCS teams.
100 Thieves lead the league in almost all metrics, but if we look at their numbers since the introduction of 11.13 patch, they no longer look as dominant. 100 Thieves played four games on 11.13, which includes games against Team Liquid, FlyQuest, Counter Logic Gaming, and Golden Guardians.
For the sake of this preview, we will not look at numbers from yesterday’s showings.
In the span of the remaining three games, 100T averaged the third-lowest Combined Kills Per Minute (0.63CKPM), fourth-highest early-game rating (72.0 EGR) and the second-highest mid-late game rating (28.0 MLR). In comparison, Evil Geniuses averaged second-highest CKPM (0.89), the highest EGR (77.1) and third-highest MLR (22.9).
Evil Geniuses are priced as 2.77 underdogs, which is a fair price. They have been playing well, but 100T are still much better. It’s easy to get blinded by 100T’s slip up yesterday, but this is still one of the top teams in the league.
Cloud9 vs Dignitas
Saturday, July 10 – 17:00 PDT
Dignitas lost to Team Liquid yesterday in a game where they looked somewhat competitive until everything fell apart. DIG played relatively well, but a few misplays in teamfights and subpar team composition eventually cost them the game.
Cloud9, on the other side, lost to FlyQuest’s academy team, who out-macroed them and stole two of the firth three drakes and a Baron in 26th minute. It was a weird game throughout, seeing how Cloud9 played like a better team and won most of the late-game teamfights but weren’t able to get much from their small victories.
The game eventually ended at around 38th-minute mark after FlyQuest took the baron and completed an upset no one expected was possible. The game did not make me think for one moment that FlyQuest’s roster is good, but it was more an indication of how disorganised Cloud9 are.
Cloud9 keep on giving away early drakes, which hasn’t helped them once this split, yet they still do it. Giving away drakes makes Cloud9 vulnerable to upset losses, as it’s hard to defeat a team that has collected four drakes even if they field worse players.
Outside of their win yesterday, Digintas haven’t been playing well and are fairly priced at 3.80. This gives them a 26.3% chance of winning against a far more stacked team that should have an edge in all positions. Dignitas are miles from being a good team, and while they’re fairly efficient in keeping their games close, it’s hard to make a case for DIG here.
Counter Logic Gaming vs FlyQuest
Saturday, July 10 – 18:00 PDT
FlyQuest stunned Cloud9 yesterday with their academy roster and will now seek their second victory in the LCS against Counter Logic Gaming. The latter haven’t had a disappointing day either, having beaten TSM in quite a convincing fashion.
CLG opted for Varus as their ADC pick, which has worked wonders for them in the laning phase, eventually denying Kai’Sa to reach her powerspike for teamfights. CLG had an excellent plan and executed it well.
The question is whether CLG can play as well against a team that they don’t know much about. That’s also a big problem for our prediction since we don’t know what to expect from FlyQuest’s current roster, and one game alone isn’t enough for us to say how good this team is.
We’re better of waiting to see FlyQuest play out a few more games before deciding what can they bring to the table.
Betting Odds are correct as of Saturday, July 10 at 15:10 CEST
