The last day of League of Legends LEC Summer 2021 Summer Super Week is here, and we’re back with another set of LoL betting previews.
Saturday was a painful day for us, with both of our picks missing the marks. G2 Esports had an uncharacteristically bad performance, whereas Misfits Gaming struggled to work around their strengths and hadn’t looked as strong as they should have.
Nevertheless, it’s a new day and a new opportunity to make back what we lost yesterday.
Schalke 04 vs Excel
Sunday, June 13 – 17:00 CEST
Schalke 04 outlasted G2 Esports yesterday after a somewhat disappointing performance against Team Vitality on the opening day of the split. It was a solid performance from the German side, but it has also proven just how unpredictable these early-split games can be.
Excel continue to disappoint with their showings and now enter the last day of the LEC 2021 Summer Super Week with a 0-2 record. They lost to Astralis in another clown-fiesta of a game yesterday, although it was clear that Excel was the worse side.
I see no upside in Excel yet, and I don’t like betting on Schalke 04 when they’re priced as the favourites. Schalke 04 shouldn’t have won against G2, so I don’t believe it’s fair that the bookies have them priced at 1.48 for this match.
With the way Excel have been playing, I’ll need much more than 2.68 to bet on them.
Vitality vs Misfits
Sunday, June 13 – 18:00 CEST
Misfits took down SK Gaming yesterday, although not in as commanding fashion as I had expected. They have had some misplays early into the match and allowed SK Gaming to gain a substantial lead.
SK Gaming were at one point 3.8k gold ahead and looked poised to win. That was until later in the game, when they blundered a team fight, gave up the Baron, and it was goodnight from there. Misfits deserve a pat on the back for clawing their way out of that game.
Team Vitality almost took down Rogue yesterday, but they ended up flat in the end. The Bees looked good on paper, but it was more Rogue playing uncharacteristically poorly rather than anything else.
Vitality seem to be going through the “honeymoon phase” and are playing much better than how they should have. While I am not trying to discredit them for their strong showings (as noted in our LEC 2021 Summer preview, they have potential upside), I am not ready to believe that they’re going to look so good in the long run.
Misfits offer good value at the offered price. They might not have dominated in their win yesterday, but they got the job done. Let’s see them do it again here!
Prediction: Misfits to win – 2.33 at Pinnacle
MAD Lions vs Astralis
Sunday, June 13 – 19:00 CEST
MAD Lions bounced back from their loss to G2 with a very solid showing against Fnatic yesterday. The match wasn’t necessarily one-sided, but MAD Lions played much cleaner, which eventually earned them their first W of the split.
There’s much to take from that match. MAD Lions were the better team and made fewer mistakes.
Astralis continued their perfect streak yesterday with a commanding victory against Excel. They’re now the only team besides Misfits and Rogue who have yet to drop a match, which is excellent for last split’s worst team.
That said, Astralis haven’t really faced a tough opponent. They should have lost against SK Gaming but bounced back after trailing for over 3.5k gold, and it’s hard to congratulate them too much for their win against Excel, either.
Astralis were lucky enough to face teams that make way too many mistakes, and while you could praise them for being able to take advantage of the situations, Astralis still lack the talent to compete with the top dogs such as MAD Lions.
Had MAD Lions been a bit more mistake-prone team, I would take a shot with Astralis, but I don’t believe Astralis going 3-0 after today is a realistic expectation. That said, the kill line is way too high for so early into the split.
Astralis might not be winning, but they are resilient enough to keep MAD Lions within nine kills.
Prediction: Astralis +9.5 kill – 1.833 at Pinnacle
SK Gaming vs G2 Esports
Sunday, June 13 – 20:00 CEST
You can’t deny that G2 are a much better team than SK Gaming. That, however, does not justify the betting odds. G2 Esports are priced as high as 4.984 to win here, which is way too high for the form they have been showing.
Although I have noted that G2 – like Rogue – had an uncharacteristically poor showing yesterday, it’s not like that’s the first time they have slipped against a weaker team.
I’m not too big on SK and their long-term success, but they have been playing relatively well – at least relative to my expectations. SK Gaming have had some flashes of greatness and have proven to be pretty efficient in the early game – now they only need to figure out how to close out their games.
I don’t expect SK Gaming will win, but like it’s the case in the Astralis vs MAD Lions match, the kill line is set way too high. Take SK to keep this bout within 10 kills!
Prediction: SK Gaming +10.5 kills – 1.833 at Pinnacle
Rogue vs Fnatic
Sunday, June 13 – 21:00 CEST
Rogue has a terrible game yesterday but still managed to walk away with a W. A very impressive feat considering they were well over 5k gold behind at one point.
Fnatic threw away two games so far, but I’m not ready to give up on this team just yet. They are playing much better than last split, but it just seems like they can’t get it together.
Adding Gabriël “Bwipo” Rau in the jungle has improved the team’s coordination, and Fnatic look as deadly as ever in the early game. What’s more, Adam “Adam” Maanane is playing extremely well, and if they can keep on this match, this will be a very successful split for Fnatic.
As much as I like the progress Fnatic have shown so far, I don’t believe they’re ready to take on Rogue just yet. I believe why some would like Fnatic after Rogue’s performance yesterday, but I continue to believe that yesterday was nothing more than a one-off game for the LEC 2021 Spring finalists.