Portugal and Germany will lock horns on Saturday, June 19, at Allianz Arena. It will mark their first meeting since June 2014, when Germany crushed Portugal 0-4 in their World Cup Group G opener.
Portugal vs Germany
When: Saturday, June 19 – 18:00 CEST
Where: Allianz Arena in Munich, Germany
Weather: Cloudy, 31°C
Referee: Anthony Taylor (ENG)
Portugal tore apart Hungary in the final eight minutes of the game, now needing only three more points to secure a spot in the knockout stage. They’ll look to do just that on Saturday when they take on Germany for the sixth time of the century.
As successful as Portugal were over the years, they historically struggled against the Germans, having won only one match in their last five head-to-head bouts. Even that win came in 2000, when Portugal won 3-0, having since lost four consecutive bouts with 1-3, 2-3, 0-1, and 0-4.
Portugal Expected to Run It Back
Portugal needed 82 minutes to break through the Hungarian defence last time out to end the day with a well-deserved 3-0 victory. It was a solid showing from the reigning EURO champions, so we don’t expect any changes in their starting XI for this evening.
There’s a slight chance Fernando Santos will swap out a few players in the midfield, but we don’t see a good reason for him to do that. Regardless, he has options.
Looking back at Portugal’s victory over Hungary, the Navigators might have scored very late, but we were never in doubt that they would come out ahead. They were clearly the better team, so the late goals shouldn’t make you believe that Portugal struggled by any means.
Germany Need to Show a Bit More
On paper, the Germans were unlucky to lose against France in their opener, however, it was a well-deserved defeat. We would even go so far as to say that Germany should have conceded a few more goals due to their sloppy passes and the overall iffy performance of their players.
We must, however, give Germany some praise for their showings in the second half, when they looked decent. Germany created a few chances and seemed like they could equalise but fell flat in the end.
Overall underwhelming showings from their players did not paint a good look for Germany, who were not as good as France that day.
On a more positive note, Matthias Ginter is expected to return for Germany today and could feature. Joachim Löw might also give Leroy Sane a chance to play as a replacement for Kai Havertz, who struggled to shine last time out.
Portugal vs Germany Betting Picks
Germany are priced as the favourites for this match, which seems a bit off in our book. Although they are playing at home, the home advantage has proven to be more of an illusion at EURO 2020 rather than a serious advantage.
What’s more, the Nationalelf very rarely play at Allianz Arena, so it’s hard to overvalue the fact that today’s match will play out in Germany.
Adding to that, Portugal looked like a much better team last round and should be well equipped to take advantage of Germany’s lacklustre passing we have seen on Tuesday. Knowing how important this match is, we can expect both teams to give their 100%, and we all know what Portugal are capable of when they’re at their best.
Portugal are underestimated at the offered odds.
Prediction: Portugal +0.25 Asian Handicap – 1.95 at SBOBET
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