Queens Park Rangers v Brentford – Championship Betting Preview and Prediction
We have got a London Derby on our hands, featuring two old enemies Queens Park Rangers and Brentford, who will duke it out on Monday, October 28, at The Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium in round 14 of English Championship.
QPR entering the derby without joint-top scorer
QPR will enter Monday’s fixture sitting at eighth place in the league with a 7-2-4 record and 23 points next to their name, which is a solid record to hold, that said, QPR have shown some sign of up and down form as of late, claiming seven points in the last three. Following QPR’s defeat to West Brom (0:2) and Cardiff (3:0), Mark Warburton’s men defeated Blackburn (4:2), Hull (2:3) and most recently drew with Reading (2:2). Looking back ar QPR’s clash with Reading, it’s easy to see why the Hoops expected to walk away with more than just one point, considering they were meeting with one of the relegation candidates. That said, Warburton’s men simply failed to deliver.
QPR scored the opening goal in 29′, and Reading responded barely two minutes later to level the score at 1:1. Hugill scored his seventh goal of the season in 58th minute to get QPR in a lead, however, the home side once again failed to hold on to the minimal lead as they conceded their second in 74th minute. No goals were on display for the remaining minutes of the match, meaning the two sides left the pitch with one point apiece. The final result was a fair representation of how the two-sided played, as we feel like a draw was well deserved for both sides.
QPR had 53% possession and shot the ball 6/13. Reading on the other side ha 47% ball possession and shot 5/11. While it’s easy to bash QPR for their seemingly poor result against Reading, we have to address that Reading have found their form as of late, putting a solid fight against some of the league’s strongest sides, meaning we can’t put too much weight on that result.
At this point, it’s worth noting QPR will enter their next fixture without Hugill due to picking up his fifth booking of the campaign against Reading. That said, we can expect Bright Osayi-Samuel to return to the starting lineup, so there are not too many concerns about QPR’s offensive strength here.
Brentford chasing third win in a row
Brentford are entering their 14th match of the season with a 5-3-5 record and 18 points. Looking back at their last five fixtures, Thomas Frank’s men won against Barnsley (1:3), drew with Bristol City (1:1), lost to Nottingham (1:0) and won both of their two recent fixtures against Millwall (3:2) and Swansea (0:3) last week.
We can expect Frank’s side to arrive at The Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium with the same lineup as in last round when they dismantled Swansea, as there are no reports of new injuries nor missing players for any other reason. Looking back at Brentford’s impressive 3:0 win against Swansea, the Bees scored the opener in 30th minute with the help of Benrahma. Six minutes later Bidwell helped the wrong team and scored an unfortunate own goal, to make Brentford go 0:2 up. Swansea pushed for a goal of their own to level the playing field, but to no avail. Instead, it was Brentford who scored their third in 56th minute, to go three up and more or less seal the deal for Swansea. Josh Da Silva and Bryan Mbeumo played exceptionally well and made sure to let Frank know he made the right decision to let them play. We can expect them to re-appear this Monday, where they will do their best to make Frank proud once more.
Nikos Karelis will miss out on this fixture after being carried off the pitch on the stretcher with a knee injury he suffered against Millwall. His return date is still unknown, as we wait for reports on the severity of his injury. Luka Racic has reportedly returned to train with the team, but is unlikely to play here. Sergi Canos remains a long-term absentee.
Verdict & Prediction
Brentford have shown some impressive quality as of late, which would easily make anyone believe they are much better to what their league position might suggest. That said, they are still five points behind QPR, meaning they are just as likely to catch up to QPR as to find themselves on the edge of the relegation zone. QPR on the other side are barely four points behind the league leaders and two points behind Preston, Leeds and Swansea, meaning a win here would catapult them to the second place in the league. With that in mind, it’s clear which team will get more from a win here and we can easily expect that will play a pivotal role on how will the two sides approach Monday’s derby.
QPR are currently 3-2-2 at the home stadium with a 3-1-1 record in the last five. Brentford on the other side are 3-0-4 on the road with 2-0-3 in the last five. Furthermore, Brentford won at Loftus road only twice in the last 10 meetings across all competitions. In our eyes, the odds here should be the other way around, as we can’t see Brentford as favorites. We will trust QPR to deliver this Monday and get themselves back into the top of the league.
Prediction: QPR +0.25 Asian Handicap
Odds: 1.87 Pinnacle