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Sheffield Wed vs Blackburn
When: Tuesday, April 20 – 19:00 BST
Where: Hillsborough Stadium in Sheffield, Yorkshire, England
Weather: Cloudy, 15°
Referee: Paul Tierney
Sheffield Wednesday picked up a crucial point on Saturday against Bristol City, but they’re still a long way from saving themselves from relegation.
With 36 points to their name, the hosts need seven points to catch up to Derby in 21st. However, with no games in hand, Sheffield’s success will rely both on their performance and that of Derby.
Sheffield Wed could be relegated tonight
The Owls are second bottom of the Championship. They’re seven points from safety and can gather only 12 more, meaning a loss tonight could see them relegated.
Some of that will also depend on how well Derby does at Preston, but that’s hardly a calming situation for the four-time Premier League champions.
Darren Moore’s men are desperate for points and we expect them to play as such. They need to go all-out and do their best to collect all three, only to keep their survival hopes alive.
While Sheffield’s situation isn’t exactly great, they’ve been playing relatively well of late. At least as far as scoring is concerned.
Two weeks ago, Sheffield Wed handed Cardiff a 0-5 loss, with goals coming from Julian Borner, Callum Paterson, Adam Reach, and Jordan Rhodes. They’ve since cooled down and managed only two in their next three, including one against QPR (1-4), and one against Bristol City (1-1) last time out.
There is no hiding that Sheffield Wed have been involved in quite a few high-scoring affairs of late. There have been 14 goals in their last four, largely due to Wednesday deciding to ditch their defensive style of play, which hasn’t done them any favors this season.
Blackburn a Bit Too Aggressive For Their Own Good
Unlike Sheffield Wed who have prioritized defensive style of play this season, Blackburn proved to be the complete opposite. They took the offensive style of play a bit too far and got – much like Sheffield – punished for that.
Blackburn have scored 54 goals across 42 fixtures, but also conceded 48, which is not optimal. The visitors managed at least one goal in 67% of their games, and conceded at least once in 71%, while keeping a clean sheet in 29% of games.
Comparing that to Sheffield Wed, the latter have scored once in 71% of their games, and conceded at least one in 56%, while keeping a clean sheet in almost 43% of their bouts. Those numbers, however, should be taken with a grain of salt, due to the aforementioned changed style of play.
Blackburn enter this match on a 1-2-2 run, with losses to Wycombe (0-1), Bournemouth (0-2), draws against Norwich (1-1) and Cardiff (2-2), and a win against Derby (2-1) from Friday.
Even though Blackburn sit in 15th, they are arguably much better than what that place suggests. I would go even so far as to say that they’re easily a top-10 team.
Sheffield Wed vs Blackburn Betting Picks
As mentioned, Blackburn have scored 54 goals this season, which is the most of any team outside the top-eight, as well as almost double-digits more than any bottom-half team in the Championship.
Not one game that involved Blackburn ended without a goal, whereas 38% ended with both teams getting their name on the board. There is no hiding the fact that Blackburn tend to be involved in high-scoring affairs, 29% of which ended with over 3.5 goals.
Sheffield Wed, on the other side, saw at least one goal in 86% of their games, while only 5% ended with three or more goals. Regardless, they have seen at least three goals in 1/3 of their fixtures this season.
Blackburn have seen 10 goals, while Sheffield Wed saw 14 across their last four outings. That combined with Blackburn’s offensive style of play and Sheffield Wed’ hunger for points should produce an exciting and open match tonight.
Prediction: Over 2.5 goals